Western Canada is on fire — again

Drew Anderson and Matt Simmons,
Local Journalism Initiative Reporter

In Alberta, parts of Fort McMurray are evacuating again. In B.C., more than 4,000 residents of Fort Nelson and the Fort Nelson First Nation were ordered to flee this week. Thick smoke has already descended on large swaths of the West, from Edmonton to Winnipeg.

It’s a grim — and familiar — start to wildfire season in Western Canada as tinder-dry forests go up in flames.

In addition to the flames, smoke has descended on Edmonton and other communities, leading to air quality  warnings. The smoke from Western Canada wildfires descended around the  same time during last year’s devastating fire season, according to  Environment and Climate Change Canada. Wildfire smoke made headlines  last year, as thick smoke cloaked major cities, including New York City,  Toronto and Chicago — a rare phenomenon in eastern urban centres.

Around the world, the size and intensity of wildfires are increasing as climate change impacts deepen.

Mike Flannigan, the B.C. Innovation  Research Chair in predictive services, Emergency Management and Fire  Science at Thompson Rivers University, says climate change is the  driving force behind increasing Western Canada wildfires.

“Some people won’t like this, but it’s the  role of climate change,” he says. “I think B.C. is a really stark  example. From 2017 to 2023, we burned more areas than in the previous 58  years. So yeah, we’re going to see more fire in the future and more  smoke.”

Warmer temperatures mean longer fire  seasons and increase the likelihood of lightning — a major fire starter —  and sucks more moisture out of the atmosphere, Flannigan says.

Last year shattered records for how much land burned across Canada, and it’s almost impossible to  predict exactly what will happen this year, but there are glimmers of  hope that it won’t be quite as bad. Fire weather forecasts look  positive, according to Flannigan.

The notable thing this year, he says, are  the fires that smouldered over the winter in both Alberta and B.C. In  past years, those would have been dealt with by fire crews in the fall,  but those crews were stretched thin late in the season and the hot spots  were too vast.

“We’re off to a fast start,” he says.

“It’s more active than average, but it’s not close to 2023.”

Here’s a breakdown of what’s happening in Western Canada, where the vast majority of fires are burning.

Western Canada wildfires: a look at B.C.

Holdover fires and drought conditions  across most of the province — particularly the northeast — have set the  stage for B.C.’s 2024 wildfire season. Little rain and snow fell over  the winter and most watersheds across B.C. never had a chance to  replenish. This has led to an early and aggressive start to the season,  with numerous new fires flaring up in April and May.

Over the Mother’s Day weekend, the Parker Lake fire near Fort Nelson  displaced more than 4,000 community members. At more than 8,000  hectares as of May 15, the wildfire continues to grow and is burning  just a few kilometres from the town.

Holdover fires, the remnants of massive 2023 fires that smouldered in the ground throughout the winter, are also  starting to flare up as they get exposed to warm, dry winds. One,  called Patry Creek, is just north of Fort Nelson and BC Wildfire Service crews are carefully monitoring its growth.

“In the past, the winter conditions are  what put out a lot of holdover fires,” B.C. Emergency Management  Minister Bowinn Ma told reporters at a May 13 press conference. “In this  case, what we’ve seen is that due to higher temperatures and persistent  drought … from last year, many of these holdover fires were not put out  the way that they normally are.”

According to the BC Wildfire Service, 126 wildfires were burning as of May 16 and conditions in the northeast, where most of the early-season  activity is occurring, are creating “aggressive fire behaviour and  increased rates of spread, which will challenge suppression efforts.”

Sherry Williams, a meteorologist who works  on air quality for Environment and Climate Change Canada, said the  weekend of May 10 was the first time this year where the air quality in  B.C. degraded enough for a special statement from the agency. That’s a  little behind last year’s first notice, released on May 5.

Western Canada wildfires: a look at Alberta

Much like B.C., drought conditions in Alberta are stoking flames and fears for a bad wildfire season, with 23 fires still burning from 2023 after a dry winter.

As of May 15, there were 45 wildfires in the province, according to the province,  with two fires near Fort McMurray and Grande Prairie burning out of  control. All but one of those 45 fires is burning north of Edmonton.

Statistic from the Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Centre  show more than 1.4 million hectares have burned so far this year —  almost three times as much as this time last year. Flannigan, however,  says those figures are misleading.

Alberta, he says, is counting fires from last year for area burned, and the real figure this year is likely closer to 30,000 to 40,000 hectares,  compared to approximately 530,000 hectares at this time last year.

In Edmonton, advisories were issued for air quality over the weekend of May 10, which is comparable to  conditions at this time last year, according to Williams. Last year, air  quality started to degrade in the north in early May and moved south to  the middle of the province, she said.

Fort McMurray, the site of a devastating  fire that ripped through the town and destroyed approximately 2,400  homes in 2016, is once again on alert as residents from southern  communities evacuate and those from northern neighbourhoods reported traffic jams for those eager to escape before an evacuation order is issued.

Near Grande Prairie, some rural residents were ordered to evacuate, but that was downgraded to an evacuation alert on May 15 and residents were allowed to return home.

Western Canada wildfires: a look at Saskatchewan

The situation for Western Canada wildfires is less dire in Saskatchewan, where nine fires are currently burning, according to the province.  Two of those fires were out of control on May 15 and residents of  Creighton, near the Manitoba border, were on alert as a fire rages near  Flin Flon.

There have been more fires so far this  year in Saskatchewan compared to last year, but 30 per cent less area  has burned to date, according to the Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Centre.

Western Canada wildfires: a look at Manitoba

The situation is almost identical in Manitoba, where nine fires are currently burning, with two out of control, according to the province.  Both of those fires are near the Saskatchewan border, one near  Clearwater Lake and the other east of Flin Flon and eating into Grass  River Provincial Park, which forced the evacuation of the community of  Cranberry Portage.

Evacuees from that community were hopeful they could return home soon, as the fire moved away from the town.

Statistics from the Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Centre show  the number of fires this year are more than double last year’s total at  this time, and more than 35,000 hectares had already burned as of May  14 — compared to just over 2,000 hectares last year.

Western Canada wildfires: a look at the Northwest Territories

The Northwest Territories was ravaged by fire in 2023,  with thousands forced to flee and the capital threatened by flames.  More than two-thirds of the entire population of the territory were  evacuated over the season last year.

Air quality started to plummet in mid-May last year, Williams said.

The fires have started early again this year, with seven currently burning, according to the territorial government. So far this year, there have been 13 wildfires, compared to four at  this time in 2023, but the area burned is down significantly, according to the Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Centre.

The community of Fort Liard, near the B.C.  border, was notified to prepare for the possibility of an evacuation on  May 10. As of May 15, the evacuation notice remains in effect.

Drew Anderson and Matt Simmons,
Local Journalism Initiative Reporter
The Narwhal